Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.129617 0.158907 0.190758 0.227674 0.268998 0.313561 0.364978
2025-03-30 0.088271 0.125953 0.170735 0.226655 0.293429 0.369514 0.461667
2025-04-06 0.061168 0.102321 0.155745 0.227164 0.317289 0.424650 0.559633
2025-04-13 0.044166 0.086902 0.147328 0.233190 0.346704 0.486848 0.668215
2025-04-20 0.032581 0.075712 0.141960 0.241423 0.378262 0.552244 0.782658
2025-04-27 0.023778 0.066034 0.136603 0.248196 0.407324 0.614885 0.895201
2025-05-04 0.015936 0.055021 0.126843 0.246859 0.424341 0.661742 0.988446
2025-05-11 0.011183 0.048035 0.122056 0.251809 0.449578 0.719539 1.096620
2025-05-18 0.007004 0.039944 0.113507 0.249481 0.463499 0.761849 1.184935
2025-05-25 0.003434 0.030271 0.099486 0.236153 0.459618 0.778773 1.239160
2025-06-01 0.001982 0.025937 0.095104 0.238324 0.478735 0.827712 1.336814
2025-06-08 0.000837 0.020595 0.086923 0.232538 0.484672 0.857591 1.408628
2025-06-15 0.000499 0.019317 0.088372 0.244945 0.520571 0.932252 1.544598
2025-06-22 0.000154 0.015990 0.083551 0.244790 0.535953 0.977342 1.640416
2025-06-29 0.000026 0.013341 0.079651 0.245864 0.553156 1.025303 1.740902
2025-07-06 0.000001 0.011818 0.078608 0.252532 0.579830 1.087757 1.862611
2025-07-13 NaN 0.010747 0.078668 0.261398 0.610392 1.156453 1.993928
2025-07-20 NaN 0.009602 0.078048 0.268648 0.638274 1.221484 2.120772
2025-07-27 NaN 0.007723 0.073784 0.267307 0.650889 1.263316 2.214802
2025-08-03 NaN 0.006710 0.072525 0.272562 0.675214 1.323393 2.335682
2025-08-10 NaN 0.005228 0.068219 0.270133 0.685448 1.361663 2.425307
2025-08-17 NaN 0.003305 0.059661 0.256096 0.673545 1.364766 2.463426
2025-08-24 NaN 0.002654 0.057745 0.258393 0.691877 1.415655 2.571969